Newcastle United are expected to emerge as Premier League contenders in the coming seasons after a £ 305million seismic takeover has been approved.
A consortium backed by the Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund (PIF) struck a deal with former President Mike Ashley, which resulted in new owners.
The green light was given in the middle of the week and the news sent shockwaves through the Premier League scene.
Part of this came amid protests from human rights groups – as the Saudi-backed PIF is overseen by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman – while the deal is expected to be a game-changer. the pitch when the Magpies are finally able to adapt that. a new financial muscle.
It will certainly not be enough for them this season, but starting in January there are one or two new players in town when it comes to high-level transfers.
But where does that leave Manchester City and Manchester United in their title this campaign?
According to supercomputer FiveThirtyEight, Pep Guardiola and his roster of stars City are favorites to defend the trophy they’ve won three times in the past four seasons.
City are currently seen as a 50 percent chance of finishing first in the class, while Liverpool (26%) and Chelsea (18%) follow far behind. United have a 5% chance of winning a first Premier League crown since 2013 – according to the same data.
These predictions are also replicated when evaluating the four main degrees.
City have a 95% chance in this regard, while Liverpool (87%) and Chelsea (81%) are backed to follow them in the main competition – and United (48%) are expected to fend off challenges from Tottenham (14%) , Everton (13%) and Arsenal (12%).
The supercomputer predicts that 84 points will be enough for City to reign supreme, once again.
Lower in the table, Newcastle headed for that winless international break after seven matches – finishing 19th with three points.
Since their hands are tied in the transfer market until January – at least – Steve Bruce will have to work with what he has, unless new Saudi owners pull the plug and seek their own leadership appointment in the days and weeks to come.
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The same FiveThirtyEight data as above expects Newcastle to stay in the division.
The Magpies are expected to end the season in 17th place, although it could turn out to be a nervous final with a similar expected point total (35) to that of Burnley and Watford – which the supercomputer expects to join Norwich City (29 points) by moving to the championship.
Newcastle have a 57% chance of survival, but that should change when January rolls around.
FiveThirtyEight uses SPI odds, which have an offensive and defensive component, to determine which team will win a specific game. This is all then built up to see how many points each team will accumulate at the end of the season.
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