The 2021/22 season is about to reach its busiest time of all as the festive break brings more football and even more Premier League action.
So far there have been 12 league games played, with Chelsea currently leading the table with 29 out of 36 possible points.
Arsenal sit in fifth place with 20 points, reversing a poor start with three losses in their first three matches under Mikel Arteta.
As for Tottenham, they are seventh with 19 points, although everything has changed at the London club. Nuno Espirito Santo joined the squad this summer but was sacked after only ten appearances in charge.
Former Chelsea boss Antonio Conte has since taken control and guided them to a win and a draw in his first two games.
With 26 games to go, everything is up for grabs in the league and there is still a lot that can still happen.
According to FiveThirtyEight, a company that works in stats and simulations, they simulated what the final standings will look like at the end of the season on average.
For the Blues, despite their current achievements at the top of the standings and many of them pushing them to win the league, the standings allow them to finish third, which will be a shock.
The simulation earns them 82 points over the season, one point behind Liverpool in second and four behind Manchester City, who they say will be champions again.
West Ham are the team that rounds out the top four, while Manchester United sit in fifth place, although the impact of a new manager following Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s sacking remains to be seen.
Arsenal would finish sixth, gaining 58 points this season and finishing above Spurs in the table.
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Antonio Conte’s side are just behind in seventh place, which could mean another year in the Europa Conference Conference. The simulation has the Lilywhites finishing just three points behind their north London rivals Arsenal.
However, there are still a lot of games and points to be won. Will Thomas Tuchel keep Chelsea on track for the title? Will Mikel Arteta bring European football back to Emirates Stadium? Will Spurs change things under Antonio Conte? These questions all remain unanswered before May 2022.
Final simulated table
Manchester City – 86 points
Liverpool – 83pts
Chelsea – 82pts
West Ham – 62pts
Manchester United – 58pts
Arsenal – 58pts
Tottenham – 55 points
Brighton – 52pts
Wolves – 51pts
Crystal Palace – 50pts
Leicester – 50pts
Everton – 46pts
Villa Aston – 46pts
Southampton – 45 points
Brentford – 44pts
Leeds – 42pts
Watford – 38pts
Burnley – 38 points
Newcastle – 32pts
Norwich – 30pts