Derby County have had a very difficult time in recent years, both on and off the pitch.
Fortunately, however, with the club having been taken over in the summer, the Rams were able to put that behind them as they embarked on their Ligue 1 campaign after being relegated from the Championship.
It hasn’t been entirely straightforward so far, but in all honesty, that’s to be expected.
Liam Rosenior left at the end of September after having mixed results as interim boss, and with Paul Warne now at the helm, the Rams have a boss who knows exactly what it takes to secure promotion to the third tier.
That said, with Derby currently 7th in the division, a supercomputer, courtesy of FiveThirtyEight, has predicted the Rams’ chances of securing promotion this season.
Since the Rams are in cup action today and not in the league, we thought it was a good time to take a look at what the percentages are saying right now.
Quiz: In which English club are these 24 ex-Derby County players currently playing?
What is the probability?
At present, the supercomputer believe Derby County has a 25 per cent chance of gaining automatic promotion from League One this season.
That pales in comparison when looking at the odds given to Plymouth Argyle (64%), Ipswich Town (61%) and Sheffield Wednesday (58%).
Doing that by winning the league is even more unlikely, according to the supercomputer, which gives the Rams a 4% chance of winning the title.
They do, however, have the highest percentage in the division of being in the playoff spots, at 47%.
In an average simulated season, the supercomputer predicts Derby County will finish 4th in League One this season, with Plymouth (1st), Ipswich (2nd) and Sheffield Wednesday (3rd) the teams to finish above them.
Supercomputer says Rams are less than 1% change from being relegated to League Two.